recession近在眼前了 Yield Curve Inversion 已经非常明显了

[dealfinder]

10年的yield比1年的yield 低0.3%啦。

recession是肯定要来了，现在大家不确定是会有多严重了

https://www.investopedia.com/articles/b ... dcurve.asp

an inverted yield curve has been viewed as an indicator of a pending economic recession. When short-term interest rates exceed long-term rates, market sentiment suggests that the long-term outlook is poor and that the yields offered by long-term fixed income will continue to fall.

How Well Do Inverted Yield Curves Predict Recessions?
An inverted yield curve in U.S. Treasuries has predicted every recession since 1955, with only one false signal during that time.
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It even "predicted" the economic downturn that followed the COVID-19 pandemic (although most economists attribute this to luck, and not the fact that it can predict natural disasters).

[wutai]

不是花姐做戏給包爷看的？